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EURUSD: Intraday Analysis & Forecast update

FX traders might sell a lot more dollars during a U.S. easing cycle that is expected to start as early as March and could see the main U.S. interest rate below 4 percent by December.

This is a huge change from the “high for long” U.S. rate view that led traders to unwind the $18 billion bet they had made on the dollar falling in July last year. Traders turned long after – encouraged by a surprisingly hawkish view from the Federal Reserve in September.

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