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EURUSD: Intraday Analysis update & Forecast

A weak payrolls report which halts the U.S. tightening cycle may have a big influence on FX markets, wrong-footing traders who have spent weeks betting on the dollar rising ahead the event.

Despite the hawkish musings of the Federal Reserve, futures markets imply that the next move in U.S. interest rates will be a cut, likely next summer. The probability of another hike has dropped substantially, with those odds ranging between 27-37% from November to March.

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