Forex (SPOT)Premium

EURUSD: Waiting for ECB’s decision & Our Forecast

The foreign exchange volatility on which FX options thrive has been lacking of late and volatility risk premiums suggest dealers aren’t expecting impending data and key central bank meetings to reignite it.

Future FX volatility is an unknown yet key parameter when determining an option premium and implied volatility is a best guess substitute. Any disparity between implied and realised volatility over the life of that option creates a trading opportunity.

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